$1,000,000 ML Portfolio
An end-to-end machine learning experiment: forecast next-day market direction, trade on paper, and measure the result against buy-and-hold.
Started with
$1,000,000
ML portfolio ended at
$987,730
-1.23%
SPY buy & hold ended at
$1,383,582
+38.27%
Trades placed
127
Click to view each trade
The model underperformed a simple SPY buy-and-hold over this window after costs. That outcome is part of the story — short-term market timing is hard once you remove lookahead bias.